Kelly Criterion Calculator
Calculate Optimal Bet Size
The Kelly Criterion helps you determine the optimal percentage of your bankroll to bet based on your edge.
e.g., 1.95 for top scorer bet
Your model's estimate
Total betting capital
Sharpe Ratio Analysis — Risk-Adjusted Performance
Top Players by Risk-Adjusted Returns
Sharpe Ratio = (Return - Risk-free Rate) / Standard Deviation. Higher = better risk-adjusted returns.
11.15
Erling Haaland Sharpe Ratio
Excellent
0.00
Kylian Mbappé Sharpe Ratio
Risky
10.22
Harry Kane Sharpe Ratio
Excellent
18.85
Jonathan Burkardt Sharpe Ratio
Excellent
| Player | Avg ROI (%) | Volatility (σ) | Max Drawdown | Win Rate (%) | Sharpe Ratio | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Erling Haaland
|
+25.0% | 2.1% | -8% | 70% | 11.15 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Kylian Mbappé
|
+25.0% | 0.0% | -2% | 80% | 0.00 | ⭐ |
|
Harry Kane
|
+25.0% | 2.3% | -7% | 70% | 10.22 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Jonathan Burkardt
|
+23.6% | 1.1% | -6% | 70% | 18.85 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Kylian Mbappé
|
+25.0% | 3.4% | -11% | 70% | 6.85 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Anthony Gordon
|
+24.6% | 3.0% | -8% | 70% | 7.53 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Harry Kane
|
+23.6% | 3.0% | -9% | 70% | 7.20 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
|
Erling Haaland
|
+23.2% | 1.8% | -6% | 70% | 11.96 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💡 Analysis Note: Sharpe Ratio above 1.0 indicates excellent risk-adjusted performance. Players with high Sharpe ratios offer better value relative to their volatility.
Data Source
Analysis based on 60 players across 5 major leagues. Data last updated: 2026-03-02.